Prediction of Election Results Using Discrimination of Non-Respondents: The Case of the 1997 Korea Presidential Election
نویسندگان
چکیده
This study is aimed to propose a prediction method of election results using discrimination of non-respondents. CHAID algorithm is used for the purpose. We use the 1997 Korea presidential election forecasting survey data for the example.
منابع مشابه
The Role of Internet in Elections (A case study of the Presidential Election of the USA in 2008)
Internet has found an increasing role in the politics, during the last decade. Today, terms like digital democracy, Internet elections, Internet advertisements (propaganda, social- political Web logging in the internet has become common terms. Internet is getting replaced for the traditional media in politics. The interactive characteristic of this media has changed it to an unrivaled instrume...
متن کاملSocial factors affecting electoral behavior: Presidential election in Mazandaran province
The main objective of this research is the sociological study of the impact of social influences on electoral behavior in Iran's presidential election among citizens living in Mazandaran province. This research is descriptive-analytic and survey is carried out using a researcher-made questionnaire. Using Cochran's formula, 384 individuals were selected as sample size and then statistical sampli...
متن کاملModeling and forecasting US presidential election using learning algorithms
The primary objective of this research is to obtain an accurate forecasting model for the US presidential election. To identify a reliable model, artificial neural networks (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) models are compared based on some specified performance measures. Moreover, six independent variables such as GDP, unemployment rate, the president’s approval rate, and others are co...
متن کاملCritical Discourse Analysis of Hedges and Boosters in Iranian TV Election Debates of Presidential Candidates
To win the attention of the audience, presidential candidates rely on their own rhetorical methods. Hedges and boosters as metadiscourse markers have been the focus of many studies as the communicative strategies enabling speakers to soften the force of utterances or moderate their assertive force. TV news was used as the corpus of this study, whereas most of the previous studies have focused o...
متن کاملA Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology with bootstrap percentile estimates for predicting presidential election results in Ghana
Although, there exists numerous literature on the procedure for forecasting or predicting election results, in Ghana only opinion poll strategies have been used. To fill this gap, the paper develops Markov chain models for forecasting the 2016 presidential election results at the Regional, Zonal (i.e. Savannah, Coastal and Forest) and the National levels using past presidential election results...
متن کامل